Published in Shortfall·4 days agoMember-onlyHard Questions for those who believe CO2 is driving our climate #10: How much is the Pacific ocean warming the earth, and what warms the Pacific ocean?If you take out the El Nino signal, what’s left? — If CO2 is warming the earth, then it MUST cause the El Nino and La Nina events that have been going on for hundreds of thousands of years, because those events are largely responsible for our recent increase in temperatures. Yet most scientists agree that the El Nino phenomenon is…Climate Change3 min readClimate Change3 min read
Published in Shortfall·6 days agoMember-onlyThe Education of ChatGPTChatGPT does high-school physics at the level of a confused teenager — I want ChatGPT to understand climate science, not just repeat the IPCC dogma without thinking. I’ve been trying from different angles. In this episode, I help ChatGPT learn to multiply and add basic units of energy. Here is the transcript, unedited. My questions in subhead style and the final answers…Science16 min readScience16 min read
Published in Shortfall·Mar 22Member-onlyHard Questions for those who believe CO2 is driving our climate #9: What does the Phanerozoic data say?What can we learn from Phanerozoic climate data? — There are several estimations of CO2 vs temperature going back 600 million years. I’ll present two of them here:Science3 min readScience3 min read
Published in Shortfall·Mar 15Member-onlyHard Questions for those who believe CO2 is driving our climate #8: Milankovitch CyclesIs it CO2, or is it orbital mechanics? — Look at the graph of CO2 and temperature for the last 800k years: Clearly, there’s a correlation between CO2 and temperature at this scale. What’s going on? Temperature is in red; CO2 is in gray. Look closely. Do you see temperatures moving first or CO2 moving first? Do you see…Science3 min readScience3 min read
Published in Shortfall·Mar 6Member-onlyHard Questions for those who believe CO2 is driving our climate #7: The tropical mid-troposphere warm spotThe IPCC makes predictions. Do they come true? — Starting with James Hansen’s work in the late 1970s and early 1980s, “scientists” have been predicting that human emissions of CO2 are going to cause tropical mid-troposphere temperatures to rise. Successive IPCC reports kept doubling down on this prediction, until the Fifth report in 2018, which states: Fourth, all models…Science4 min readScience4 min read
Published in Shortfall·Mar 1Member-onlyHard Questions for those who believe CO2 is driving our climate #6: The Dansgaard Oeschger EventsIf your theory doesn’t fit the data, your theory is wrong Today we’re looking at the rate of change. Are temperatures rising faster than ever before? The Smoking Gun If you read the IPCC reports, as I do, you may have noticed that they present no data from about 100,000 years ago to…Science4 min readScience4 min read
Published in Shortfall·Feb 22Member-onlyHard Questions for those who believe CO2 is driving our climate #5: What’s Causing all the Heating in the Arctic?This is the next installment in my series, which starts with question #1. The Arctic is melting! We hear it all the time, we can’t get away from it. Look, here’s the data from the Polar Science Center: Yes, but that starts in 1979, so you’d expect something like that…Climate Change2 min readClimate Change2 min read
Published in Shortfall·Feb 15Member-onlyHard Questions for those who believe CO2 is driving our climate #4: What about the Poles?Does CO2 warm or cool the poles? — This is the fourth installment in my series asking hard questions. What happens if we add more CO2 to the atmosphere? It seems common knowledge that more CO2 will raise the overall temperature on earth, despite evidence I and others continue to present to the contrary. But … what about…Science3 min readScience3 min read
Published in Shortfall·Feb 8Member-onlyHard Questions for those who believe CO2 is driving our climate #3: What Caused the Holocene Temperature Stability?This is the next installment in my series asking hard questions. People either comment saying I must be paid by oil companies (wrong) or they say this isn’t very much evidence, it could easily be that CO2 is a factor in driving warming. It could be. I’m stacking up a…Science4 min readScience4 min read
Published in Shortfall·Feb 1Member-onlyHard Questions for those who believe CO2 is driving our climate #2: What Caused the Little Ice Age?If you’re just joining me, the first installment gives the rules for this series. People who leave insulting and nasty comments are showing their IQ. Let’s review the evidence Was the Little Ice Age real? Was it worldwide? The following summaries come from my page tracking peer-reviewed papers that go against the common…Science3 min readScience3 min read
